COTMARKETDATA
The money flow between non-commercial , commercial market actors, and retail traders
- Commercial companies are the most influential players in the forex market.
- These companies trade in the forex market not for profit, but to protect their funds for specific needs.
- Commercial companies hold currency positions for long periods, often months, without actively seeking short-term profits.
- Non-commercial corporations like banks, hedge funds, and institutions trade in the forex market to make profits.
- Their main strategy is to move prices in their favor for profitable entry and exit.
- By understanding their behavior, traders can identify optimal entry and exit points.
- Retail traders are the largest group in terms of trades and participants but trade with smaller amounts of money.
- Despite not being the main drivers of the market, retail traders are the most manipulated group.
- Non-commercial traders often exploit retail traders using various strategies.
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Fortunately, there are ways to understand what’s happening in the market and predict what might happen next based on available data. We currently use Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) data, released weekly by an independent U.S. government agency, also known as COT analysis, to monitor non-commercial traders. Additionally, we can access data from certain brokers to see the positions retail traders are taking.
CFTC data is released every Friday, covering the market up until the previous Tuesday. With over 10 years of experience analyzing this data, our team can interpret the market’s movements from the past week and provide insights into what is likely to happen in the upcoming week.
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